Weather
Weather Update
Northeast:
- A cold front has swept away all storms for the region and ushered in a cooler and less humid air mass this afternoon.
- High pressure brings sunshine and dry weather for most, but still warm and humid conditions will lead to some isolated thunderstorms in southern areas of Virginia and West Virginia through this evening.
- Temperatures will be close to mid-May averages.
- High temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s from western Pennsylvania to northern Maine and in the 70s along the coastal plain.
- Comfortable and dry conditions continue over most of the region Friday.
South:
- A big chunk of the region will experience sunny, dry and warm weather. Lingering low pressure keeps shower and thunderstorm chances from the Carolinas to Florida.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to pop up through the Southeast and Florida into Friday.
- Dry conditions are expected from the Lower Mississippi Valley through the southern Plains and Texas.
- Some storms in the Southeast and Florida may contain hail, strong wind gusts, frequent lightning and heavy downpours.
- The wind will crank, with gusts over 40 mph, for western Texas and western Oklahoma. This will contribute to a high fire danger this afternoon through Friday.
- Highs will be mainly in the 80s and lower 90s, although 70s are possible in northern and eastern North Carolina
Mid West:
- The vast majority of the region will be dry and quiet this afternoon and tonight.
- A few showers or thunderstorms are possible from southern Minnesota to northern Michigan.
- Stray thunderstorm may pop-up near the Black Hills in South Dakota this afternoon and evening.
- Blustery south/southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 40 mph are possible from Kansas to southern Minnesota.
- Highs will be in the 60s and 70s from the Great Lakes to the Ohio Valley.
- Very warm highs in the 80s and a few lower 90s across the Plains.
West:
- A cold front pushes through the northern Rockies, northern Nevada and northern California today.
- The front triggers showers and thunderstorms with the best coverage occurring in western Montana, northwest Wyoming and eastern Idaho.
- Tonight the front continues the threat of showers and thunderstorms in Montana and northern Wyoming.
- Winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts over 40 and 50 mph are forecast from California to the Rockies and northern Arizona.
- Strong winds, hot temperatures and very low humidity contribute to very high fire danger across the Four Corners region into southern Intermountain region today and Friday.
- Highs south of the cold front range from the 60s and 70s along the coast to 95 to 115 degrees in the deserts.
- Highs north of the cold front will be mainly in the 60s and 70s.
Weather Update
Northeast:
- A storm system moves away from the New England coast taking the heavy rain with it.
- An additional 1 to 2 inches of rain is possible from eastern Massachusetts to Maine.
- Rain ends from west to east across southern New England this morning.
- Rain tapers to showers across northern New England.
South:
- The majority of the region will be dry today.
- 1 to 3 inches of heavy rain and thunderstorms in southern and southwestern Texas through tonight.
- A few thunderstorms may be severe producing large hail and damaging wind gusts in southern Texas.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms occur along and ahead of a cold front in central and southern Florida.
- Lower humidity for the South and Southeast behind the Florida cold front today.
Mid West:
- Sunny and dry conditions for the majority of the region today.
- Late day showers and thunderstorms develop in western and central portions of the Dakotas.
- Windy conditions are expected across the Plains, northwest Iowa and western Minnesota.
- Temperatures will be 5 to 15 degrees above average from the Plains to northern Michigan.
- Highs in the 60s to lower 70s are forecast in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
West:
- It remains dry over much of the region today.
- Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms occur in southeast New Mexico.
- Isolated thunderstorms are possible in northern and western New Mexico and northern and eastern Arizona to southern Wyoming this afternoon and evening.
- A cold front brings showers to Montana and northern and western parts of Wyoming.
- Highs in northern areas range from the 40s and 50s in central and western Montana to the 60s and lower 70s in southern Idaho and Oregon.
- Highs in southern areas range from the 60s and 70s along the coast to the 90s to near 110 degrees in the deserts.
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Weather Update
Northeast:
- A few thunderstorms may become severe in western New York and northern Pennsylvania this evening and overnight.
- Hail and damaging wind gusts are the main threats from the severe thunderstorms.
- Locally heavy rainfall could lead to a potential flash flooding threat.
- Temperatures west of the stalled front will be 10 to 20 degrees above average with highs in the 70s and 80s.
- East of the front temperatures will be up to 10 degrees below average with highs in the 50s and 60s.
- Severe thunderstorms are possible from southeast New York to northeast Virginia Friday.
South:
- An upper level disturbance drifting through the South produces thunderstorms in Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, western Georgia, western Florida and eastern Louisiana.
- Locally heavy rainfall occurs in southern Alabama and western Florida causing flooding.
- Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible in southwest Texas.
- Hail, damaging wind gusts and and isolated tornado are possible in southwest Texas.
- Temperatures continue to be up to 20 degrees above average across the region.
- Highs will be mainly in the 80s and 90s with a few 100s in West Texas.
Mid West:
- Another disturbance moves through the region potentially causing more severe thunderstorms today and tonight.
- Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from southeast Nebraska and northeast Kansas through Michigan today and tonight.
- The severe threats are large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes.
- Locally heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding potential Nebraska and Iowa into the Great Lakes.
- Temperatures remains 10 to 20 degrees above average for most of the region.
- Highs range from the 60s and 70s along the Canadian border to the 80s and lower 90s in southern areas.
West:
- A storm pushing through the Northwest brings rain and high mountain snow from northern California, Washington and Oregon to Montana and Wyoming.
- A few rumbles of thunder are possible in eastern Washington, eastern Oregon, Idaho, west Montana and west Wyoming.
- Windy with gusts over 40 mph from the Sierra to the Rockies today.
- Highs in northern areas range from the 30s in the mountains to the 50s and 60s in the lower elevations.
- Highs in southern areas range from the 60s along the California coast to the 80s and 90s in the deserts.
Read MoreWeather Update
Northeast:
- A storm system moves through the region today and tonight.
- Thunderstorms are possible from extreme southern Pennsylvania southward to the Virginias.
- Some severe thunderstorms producing damaging wind gusts and hail are possible in southern West Virginia and southwestern Virginia.
- Breezy conditions continue in the eastern Great Lakes, eastern New England and the southern sections of West Virginia and Virginia.
- Highs range from the 50s and 60s north to the 70s and lower 80s south.
South:
- Dry and warm to hot for most of the region.
- Scattered thunderstorms are possible from North Carolina to the Texas Panhandle, but not all areas will get wet.
- Severe thunderstorms producing large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes are possible in the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.
- Highs will be mainly in the 80s to lower 90s across the region.
- Record highs in the 90s to near 105 degrees are possible in western Texas.
Mid West:
- Thunderstorms, some severe, are possible in the upper Ohio Valley and eastern Kentucky.
- Showers and thunderstorms are possible from the northern Plains to western Kansas.
- Severe thunderstorms producing large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes are possible in western Nebraska and western Kansas this evening.
- The Plains showers and thunderstorms push toward the Mississippi Valley tonight.
- High temperatures range from the 40s and 50s from North Dakota to Michigan to the 70s and 80s from Nebraska and Kansas to the Ohio Valley.
West:
- Severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes are possible in eastern Colorado and northeastern New Mexico.
- Windy conditions with gusts over 50 mph are possible from eastern Montana to New Mexico and from southeast California through Nevada.
- Highs in northern parts of the region will be mainly in the 50s and 60s with 70s to near 80 in eastern Montana and eastern Wyoming.
- Highs in southern areas range from the 50s and 60s at the coast to the 90s to 105 degrees in eastern and southern New Mexico.
Weather Update
Northeast:
- It will be dry and warm for most of the region today.
- Temperatures should be 5 to 15 degrees above average for the entire region except Virginia.
- Highs will be in the 60s and 70s.
South:
- The majority of the region will be dry today.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along the Southeast Coast and in Florida.
- Isolated severe thunderstorms develop in north and west Oklahoma very late this afternoon or this evening.
- Damaging wind gusts and hail are the primary threats from the storms.
- Windy with gusts over 30 mph in northern Texas and Oklahoma today.
- Temperatures are forecast to be 5 to 15 degrees above average from West Texas to Tennessee.
- Highs range from the 60s and 70s in the Carolinas to the 90s in West Texas.
Mid West:
- A storm system spreads showers and thunderstorms from the Plains to the Great Lakes today.
- Severe thunderstorms are possible in south Iowa, north Missouri and east Kansas.
- Hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threats from the severe thunderstorms.
- Windy conditions are expected from southeast Kansas to central Illinois.
- Highs will be in the 40s and 50s from the Dakotas to northern and central Michigan today.
- Highs in the 60s to lower 80s are forecast from Nebraska and Kansas to the Ohio Valley.
West:
- Showers and mountain snow showers occur from Montana to northeast New Mexico.
- Thunderstorms are possible from eastern Montana to northeast New Mexico this afternoon and evening.
- A new storm increases rain, showers and high mountain snow in the Northwest today.
- Northern area highs will be mainly in the 50s and 60s.
- Highs in southern areas range from the 60s along the California coast to the 80s and 90s in the deserts.
- Hotter weather moves into the Southwest over the weekend with the deserts climbing into the 100s.
Weather
Northeast:
- Today is the last day for the scattered showers in eastern New York, northern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey and New England.
- Drier conditions move into these areas tonight and Friday.
- Dry conditions today are expected in western New York and western Pennsylvania through the Virginias.
- Fire danger remains high across the region today, although it should be a bit lower than the past few days.
- Another chilly night is in store tonight with patchy frost and freezes from West Virginia and western Virginia through New England.
- Highs today reach the 40s and 50s in northern areas and the 50s and 60s and southern areas.
South:
- Isolated thunderstorms develop across Oklahoma and western Texas today and tonight.
- Thunderstorms may become severe producing damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes in western Oklahoma and western Texas.
- A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible in eastern Florida and southern Louisiana through early this evening.
- Dry conditions are expected from Arkansas to the Southeast and central Florida.
- Highs today range from the 60s from Arkansas through the Southeast to the 80s in Texas and Florida.
Mid West:
- Showers and thunderstorms increase from the Plains to the Missouri Valley as the first wave from the western storm moves east.
- Dry conditions are expected in the Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Kentucky today.
- Windy conditions with gusts over 35 mph are forecast from the Plains to the northern Mississippi Valley.
- High temperatures today reach the 50s and 60s from the eastern Plains to the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
- Highs in the western Plains climb into the 70s this afternoon.
West:
- Storminess continues with showers and thunderstorms expected from the coast to the northern Rockies.
- Locally heavy snow is expected in the mountains from Oregon and California through the northern Rockies.
- It will be cool with temperatures up to 10 degrees below average from California to Idaho, Utah and Arizona.
- High temperatures will be mainly in the 50s and 60s across the region.
- High temperatures climb into the 70s across the deserts.
Weather Update
Northeast:
- High pressure dominates most of the region keeping it dry today.
- Showers and light rain occur across southern portions of West Virginia and Virginia.
- It will be breezy across northern New York and northern New England.
- Temperatures should be close to early April averages again today.
- Highs range from the 40s in northern New York and northern New England to the 60s in the Virginias.
South:
- The stagnant low pressure system in the southern Plains finally is moving toward the east.
- It should move off the Southeast coast Friday setting the region up for a nice Easter weekend.
- Showers and thunderstorms are possible from North Carolina to Florida Friday.
- A few strong storms are possible in central and southern Florida as the cold front moves through.
- High temperatures today range from the 50s and 60s in North Carolina to the lower 90s in southern Texas.
Mid West:
- The majority of the region will be dominated by dry high pressure today.
- Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy from the Dakotas to the Great Lakes.
- Windy conditions with gusts over 30 mph are expected from the northern Plains to the Ohio Valley.
- Temperatures will be 10 to 20 degrees above average in the northern Plains and upper Midwest again today.
- High temperatures range from the 40s and 50s in the Great Lakes to the 70s in the western Plains.
West:
- A deep trough of low pressure moves through the Northwest and northern Rockies kicking off rain and snow showers.
- Strong winds are expected along and ahead of the deep trough from California through eastern Wyoming and eastern Montana.
- Gusts could top 40 and 45 mph in many locations during the afternoon and evening.
- Highs range from the 20s in the mountains to the 50s in the valleys from northern California through central areas of Montana and Wyoming.
- Highs reach the 60s and 60s from southern California to eastern Montana and the 80s and 90s in the deserts.
Atlantic Storm Season to Be Below Average, Forecast Says
A cooler Atlantic Ocean will probably produce 10 named storms in the hurricane season that begins June 1, about half last year’s total, according to researchers at Colorado State University.
Of those systems, four will probably become hurricanes with winds of at least 74 miles (119 kilometers) per hour and two may grow into major storms with winds of 111 mph or more, according to the forecast.
“What we’re expecting right now is a somewhat below- average hurricane season compared to the 1981 to 2010 average,” said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of the forecast begun at the university 29 years ago by Bill Gray, a pioneer in long-range hurricane predictions. “The take-home message with all of our forecasts is that it is kind of our best estimate, but it only takes one storm to make it an active season for you.”
The season, which runs through Nov. 30, is closely watched because the storms are a threat to oil and natural gas interests in the Gulf of Mexico and agriculture in the South. The Gulf accounts for 29 percent of U.S. oil output and 40 percent of refining capacity, while Florida is the second-largest citrus producer behind Brazil.
Last year, Colorado State predicted in April that there would be 16 named storms. Nineteen developed, tying with 2010, 1995 and 1887 for the third-most active season, based on records dating back to 1851.
Weather Patterns
Klotzbach said larger weather patterns will probably have an impact on the number of storms in the Atlantic this year.
The Pacific Ocean may experience an El Nino warming, which will increase wind shear across the Atlantic, he said. Wind shear tears at the structure of hurricanes and can keep weaker systems from growing into larger storms.
The possibility of the Pacific warming to levels needed to create additional Atlantic shear is still uncertain, based on computer models, Klotzbach said.
The models are bad at making predictions about El Nino during the Northern Hemisphere’s spring from March to June, said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the U.S. Climate Prediction Center in Camp Springs, Maryland.
“This is absolutely the worst time of year to try to forecast,” Halpert said.
In addition to the warmth of the Pacific, temperatures at the surface of the Atlantic also play a role in determining how many hurricanes will form, Klotzbach said.
Atlantic Cooling
The Atlantic surface has cooled in part because of the weather pattern that left the eastern U.S. warmer than normal this past winter. A cooler Atlantic, especially off the coast of Africa, means there is less energy for storms to draw on as they develop, Klotzbach said.
The Colorado State outlook is in line with those from commercial forecasters MDA EarthSat Weather in Gaithersburg, Maryland, and Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland.
Both companies predicted 11 storms for this year.
The average season produces 12 named systems, six of which become hurricanes with three developing into major storms, according to Dennis Feltgen, spokesman for the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
Irene, which went ashore in North Carolina, New Jersey and New York in August, was the first hurricane to strike the U.S. since Ike hit near Galveston, Texas, in 2008. There hasn’t been a major hurricane landfall since Wilma in 2005, the longest such stretch on record.
A storm gets a name when its winds reach 39 mph. Based on the averages from 1966 to 2009, the first of the season usually occurs by July 9 and the first hurricane by Aug. 10.
Read MoreWeather Update
Northeast:
- It will be windy with gusts occasionally over 25 mph from New York and southern New England to eastern Virginia.
- Highs in the 30s and 40s are expected from northern Pennsylvania to New England.
- Highs in the 50s to near 70s from southeast New York to the Virginias.
- A band of accumulating snow is possible across southern New York and parts of southern New England Friday night and Saturday morning.
South:
- The majority of the region will be dry and warm today.
- Scattered thunderstorms are forecast from western Oklahoma and western and southern Texas through the westernmost parts of the Florida Panhandle.
- Stray afternoon storms are possible from the Southeast coast to western Tennessee and across northern sections of Alabama and Mississippi.
- Highs will be 5 to 20 degrees above average today and Friday with most areas in the 80s.
Mid West:
- A storm system pushes across the Plains and Mississippi Valley through tonight.
- Severe thunderstorms producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and isolated tornadoes are possible from southwest Minnesota and southeast South Dakota to Kansas and Missouri.
- The tornado threat appears to be highest in northeast Kansas, northwest Missouri, southwest Iowa and southeast Nebraska.
- Dry conditions are expected from the Great Lakes to the upper Ohio Valley today.
- Highs today range from the 40s and 50s from Minnesota to Ohio to the 80s in Kansas and Missouri.
West:
- A powerful storm moves through the Northwest and northern California through Friday.
- 1 to 3 feet of snow is forecast to fall in the Cascade Mountains and the mountains of northern California.
- The heavy snow could cause some avalanches.
- Highs in northern areas range from the 20s and 30s in the mountains to the 60s in eastern Montana and Wyoming.
- Highs in southern areas range from the 40s in the mountains to the 80s to near 90 in the deserts.
www.weather.com
Weather Update
Northeast:
- Record heat continues with highs running up to 45 degrees above average today.
- A cold front drops into northern New England later this afternoon producing isolated thunderstorms.
- That front drops southward with a few showers or thunderstorms in New England and Upstate New York tonight.
- Cooler temperatures are expected in New York and New England Friday, but they should still be 15 to 25 degrees above average.
South:
- Sprawling storm in the southern Plains spreads showers and thunderstorms from Oklahoma and northern Texas into the South and Southeast today.
- Severe thunderstorms are possible in Alabama, eastern Mississippi, eastern Louisiana and the western part of the Florida Panhandle.
- Thunderstorms in Oklahoma, western Arkansas and northern Texas may contain some small hail this afternoon and evening.
- Temperatures are forecast to be 5 to 15 degrees above average in the Southeast and Florida.
- High temperatures range from the 50s in Oklahoma to the 80s in the Southeast, Florida and southern Texas.
Mid West:
- Showers and thunderstorms from the huge storm occur from the Plains to the central Ohio Valley today.
- Some storms may contain hail in eastern Kansas and western Missouri this afternoon and early evening.
- 1 to 2 inches of rain are possible in the Mississippi Valley, lower Ohio Valley and western Kentucky.
- It remains very warm with record highs running 20 to 35 degrees above average from the northern Plains to the Ohio Valley.
- Highs range from the 50s in western Kansas to the 80s in the lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Kentucky.
West:
- Another round of rain, snow and thundershowers develops in northeast Oregon and northern Idaho tonight.
- The rain and snow moves through Montana Friday.
- The big storm in the Plains hurls a few showers through eastern Colorado and northeast New Mexico through this evening.
- Highs in the Northwest range from the 20s and 30s in the mountains to the 70s in eastern Montana.
- Highs across the Southwest range from the 50s in the mountains to the 80s and lower 90s in the deserts.
www.weather.com
Weather Update
Northeast:
- Afternoon highs range from the 50s in southern New York State to the middle 80s in Virginia.
- Record highs are likely, especially from Pennsylvania through the Virginias.
- Cooler air has invaded all of New England and southeastern New York.
- Temperatures are still above average by 5 to 15 degrees.
- Highs range from the 30s in Maine to the 50s in southern New England and southeast New York.
South:
- The early summer preview continues with temperatures running up to 25 degrees above average today.
- Afternoon highs should be mostly in the 80s, possibly setting records from the southern Plains to the Southeast.
- Severe thunderstorms containing large hail and strong winds are possible from northern Arkansas to central Tennessee.
Mid West:
- The region remains warm with temperatures running 25 to 35 degrees above average today.
- Afternoon highs range from the 50s and 60s along the Canadian border to the 80s from Kansas to the Ohio Valley.
- Severe thunderstorms are possible from southern Missouri to eastern Ohio with hail and damaging wind gusts the main threats.
- It will be breezy with winds of 10 to 20 mph from eastern Kansas to the Great Lakes.
West:
- Rainfall of 1 to 4 inches is possible from western Washington to northern California through Friday morning.
- One to two feet of snow is possible in the Cascade Mountains and the mountains of northern California through tonight.
- Heavy rain and mountain snow are also expected from eastern Washington and northeast Oregon through western Montana.
- Valley rainfall could exceed 1 inch in many areas.
- Highs today range from the 30s to 50s in the Northwest to the 70s and 80s from southeast California to eastern Colorado and New Mexico.
